UK Economy Grows 0.1% in August, Beating Forecasts Ahead of Budget

The UK economy grew by 0.1% in August 2026, exceeding economists’ expectations of a 0.1% contraction, according to official figures published on Thursday, 15 October.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said the increase followed growth of 0.4% in July. June’s figure was also revised upwards from 0.3% to 0.4%.

Production Growth Offsets Weak Services

Production output rose by 0.8% in August, helped by a 1.2% increase in manufacturing. Services output showed no growth, while construction declined by 0.2%.

Consumer-facing services fell by 0.3% during the month, with weakness in recreation and food and beverage activities. However, consumer-facing services were 0.4% higher over the three months to August than in the preceding three-month period.

As The Guardian reported, the modest overall expansion came despite pressure on activities linked to household spending. The monthly figures describe economic output, not a direct measure of individual households’ financial circumstances.

Three-Month Growth Offers Broader Context

GDP rose by 0.7% in the three months to August compared with the three months to May. Services output grew by 0.9% over that period, while production declined by 0.2% and construction fell by 1.0%.

Compared with August 2025, monthly GDP was 2.1% higher. The separate three-month year-on-year comparison was 1.8%. These figures describe different periods and should not be confused with August’s 0.1% monthly increase.

According to Reuters, the result beat market expectations and was welcomed by the government ahead of its planned 28 October Budget. One better-than-expected month, however, does not establish that stronger growth will continue.

Budget Pressures Remain

The data provide a slightly stronger economic backdrop for the government, but inflation, energy costs and borrowing expenses remain important challenges. The Budget will set out fiscal decisions against that wider background.

The ONS is scheduled to publish its next monthly GDP estimate, covering September 2026, on 12 November. Further figures will help show whether the improvement in August was sustained.

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